April 25th - Monday: #wrbanalysis #wrbhiddengap #wrbzone #volatilityanalysis


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April 25th - Monday: #wrbanalysis #wrbhiddengap #wrbzone #volatilityanalysis

#1 Post by wrbtrader »

042522-TheStrategyLab-Key-Markets.png
[09:27:42] * Now talking in #ThestrategyLab
[09:34:32] <@wrbtrader> Good morning...
[09:46:01] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4226.00 -> medium size
[09:46:11] <@wrbtrader> 5 contracts early entry
[09:48:21] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4222.75 --> + 3.25
[09:49:31] <@wrbtrader> bouncing around alot...erratic
[09:56:31] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4427.50 -> medium size
[09:56:47] <@wrbtrader> 2+3 contracts
[09:56:49] <@wrbtrader> early entry
[09:57:04] <@wrbtrader> crazy erratic price action
[09:57:42] <@wrbtrader> now below the R area of the Key KME WRB Zone
[10:00:24] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4413.00 --> + 15
[10:02:24] <@wrbtrader> I think the crazy erractic price action is because too many people are trying the BUY this price drop and then are quickly bailing on their trades as it pushes lower
[10:03:08] <@wrbtrader> S area of the Key KME WRB Zone now visible on the charts...it should attract more sellers
[10:04:04] <@wrbtrader> a lot of fight in Emini NQ
[10:05:30] <@wrbtrader> if it attempts to push further below its own R area of the Key KME WRB Zone...this will take other Eminis downward. Yet, if it attempts to use the R area as a support level to get back above and stay above...a big problem for the Short sellers
[10:10:05] <@wrbtrader> now back UP...closer to the R area
[10:42:01] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4234.25 -> small size
[10:42:17] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[10:42:23] <@wrbtrader> poor entry
[10:43:15] <@wrbtrader> price action trying to retrace back to the R area or at least trying to get back inside of the range of the most recent UP WRB Hidden GAP interval
[10:46:00] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4233.50 --> + 0.75
[10:46:10] <@wrbtrader> trail stop picked :(
[10:48:09] <@wrbtrader> tricky price action right now...the chaotic bouncing around is RANDOM
[10:57:38] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4222.75 -> small size
[10:57:52] <@wrbtrader> 3 contracts early entry
[10:58:04] <@wrbtrader> back below the R area
[11:12:19] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4212.50 --> + 10.25
[11:12:25] <@wrbtrader> now midpoint area of the Key KME WRB Zone...price action less choppy
[11:12:41] <@wrbtrader> early exit
[11:12:54] <@wrbtrader> started bouncing around too much for my taste
[11:13:17] <@wrbtrader> volatility spike now
[11:13:41] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4223.50 -> small size
[11:13:48] <@wrbtrader> 1 contract
[11:13:55] <@wrbtrader> intuition
[11:14:12] <@wrbtrader> Exited Emini ES Long @ 4220.50 --> - 3
[11:14:18] <@wrbtrader> punks
[11:14:34] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4218.25 -> small size
[11:14:42] <@wrbtrader> 1 contract re-entry
[11:15:03] <@wrbtrader> Exited Emini ES Long @ 4217.25 --> - 1
[11:15:24] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4214.25 -> small size
[11:15:31] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[11:16:05] <@wrbtrader> snapback Down from the R area
[11:19:43] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4214.00 --> + 0.25
[11:20:32] <@wrbtrader> still a big battle inside this Key KME WRB Zone
[12:04:11] <@wrbtrader> a lot of bouncing around on the S area
[12:04:31] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4202.50 -> medium size
[12:04:36] <@wrbtrader> 2 + 2 contracts
[12:05:10] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4205.00 --> - 2.5
[12:05:16] <@wrbtrader> punks :(
[12:05:32] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4208.00 -> small size
[12:05:41] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[12:08:23] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 4222.50 --> + 14.5
[12:09:00] <@wrbtrader> lucky trade...didn't expect it to push so strongly back UP to retest the R area
[12:12:16] <@wrbtrader> VIX @ 30.68
[12:13:17] <@wrbtrader> The VIX has been moving higher since Thursday and then it broke above the range on Friday
[12:13:32] <@wrbtrader> Continuing into the high volatility territory
[12:13:37] <@wrbtrader> Higher today
[12:14:58] <@wrbtrader> In fact, my profits are highly correlated to the volatility in the VIX...more so than a static VIX number.
[12:15:45] <@wrbtrader> For example, if the VIX move strongly from 8 to 15 in a single trading day...its a strong volatility movement eventhough 15 is not that high
[12:16:30] <@wrbtrader> I will typically have a good profitable trading day when the VIX moves like that...maybe more important than a profitable trading day when the VIX is > 30
[12:16:52] <@wrbtrader> as in moving from 27 on Friday to 30 today
[13:01:45] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4220.00 -> small size
[13:02:01] <@wrbtrader> 3 contracts
[13:02:12] <@wrbtrader> poor entry
[13:07:10] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 4223.25 --> - 3.25
[13:15:10] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4237.75 -> small size
[13:15:16] <@wrbtrader> 3 contracts
[13:15:24] <@wrbtrader> intuition
[13:16:19] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 4243.50 --> + 5.75
-
[14:19:20] * Now talking in #ThestrategyLab
[15:03:52] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 4252.25 -> large size
[15:04:06] <@wrbtrader> 10 contracts
[15:04:13] <@wrbtrader> early entry
[15:08:00] <@wrbtrader> VIX back above its R area of a Key KME WRB Zone
[15:16:26] <@wrbtrader> VIX back below the R area and the Eminis are responding with a volatility spike to take prices back UP
[15:19:04] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4266.00 -> medium size
[15:19:07] <@wrbtrader> 5 contracts
[15:19:34] <@wrbtrader> geeesh :(
[15:26:03] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 4279.50 --> + 13.5
[15:26:19] <@wrbtrader> WRB pt1 reached
[15:29:58] <@wrbtrader> price action now spiking around...Down and back Up
[15:35:32] <@wrbtrader> Typically opposite volatility spikes leads to follow-through for the most recent volatility spike
[15:36:06] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 4284.00 -> medium size
[15:36:09] <@wrbtrader> 2+2 contracts
[15:39:57] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 4288.50 --> + 4.5
[15:40:58] <@wrbtrader> now retesting a prior S area of a Key KME WRB Zone
[15:42:27] <@wrbtrader> wow...itt couldn't push above it and it had help too from other key markets
[15:57:47] <@wrbtrader> price action stuck on the S area going into the regular session close
[15:58:03] <@wrbtrader> VIX @ 27.14
[16:00:22] <@wrbtrader> Ok...take care and see you tomorrow
Session Close

Bloomberg Markets: Beyond Bell (04/25/2022) @ Bloomberg Video: Beyond The Bell

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