September 29th - Thursday: #wrbanalysis #wrbhiddengap #wrbzone #volatilityanalysis #correlationanalysis

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September 29th - Thursday: #wrbanalysis #wrbhiddengap #wrbzone #volatilityanalysis #correlationanalysis

#1 Post by wrbtrader »

092922-TheStrategyLab-Key-Markets.png

[09:31:20] * Now talking in #TheStrategyLab
[09:31:20] * ChanServ sets mode: +o wrbtrader
[09:35:43] <@wrbtrader> Good morning...
[09:37:20] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3681.50 -> medium size
[09:37:33] <@wrbtrader> 5 contracts intuition
[09:38:08] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3682.00 --> - 0.5
[09:38:30] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3681.00 -> medium size
[09:38:40] <@wrbtrader> 5 contracts re-entry
[09:38:57] <@wrbtrader> stop placement problem in prior trade :(
[09:41:37] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3669.25 --> + 11.75
[09:41:45] <@wrbtrader> WRB pt1 reached
[09:42:09] <@wrbtrader> also an early exit
[09:42:24] <@wrbtrader> Was lost in the trade a little
[09:47:02] <TigerBoy___> price crossed with the sell off S from KEY area I mentioned before
[09:47:10] <TigerBoy___> VIX > 32
[09:54:27] <@wrbtrader> I was watching on Bloomberg Live the other day an explanation about why the VIX was not above 30 for so long and it has something to do with what the FEDS had done and Bonds...
[09:55:46] <TigerBoy___> this year people lost on Bonds ... not prepared with that
[09:55:57] <@wrbtrader> Yet, it was clear from the show that they all agreed that the VIX will soon break above 30 because the underlying economic problems will push it above 30 where it should have been for many weeks now
[09:56:48] <TigerBoy___> huge problem is inflction plus high energy price in EU
[09:56:58] <TigerBoy___> inflaction :)
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> Late CME Group Alert that I didn't see - MARKET EVENT
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> E-mini S&P 500 trades down 2% from its previous close
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> 5 hours after E-mini S&P 500 trades down 2% from its previous close has shown the most consistent results
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> On Sep 29, 08:48 AM, E-mini S&P 500 price declined 2% from its previous close. This has occurred 32 times over the last 12 months.
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> 56% (18 out of these 32 times), the price has increased 5 hours later by an average of 37.17 points. The maximum price increase has been 82.0 points.
[09:57:59] <@wrbtrader> 14 times out of 32, the price has decreased 5 hours later by an average of 30.86 points. The maximum decrease in price has been 88.5 points.
[09:59:51] <TigerBoy___> today I did mostly short ...just one long via imbalance in book order
[10:12:53] <@wrbtrader> Obvious downtrend so far today...just not a lot of opportunities to get Short
[10:27:59] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3644.75 -> small size
[10:28:11] <@wrbtrader> 3 contracts
[10:29:43] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3642.50 --> + 2.25
[10:29:51] <@wrbtrader> bailed
[10:30:43] <@wrbtrader> price action had snapback down into the range of recent volatility contraction...lost my patience in waiting to see if it can break below the S area
[10:30:50] <@wrbtrader> It just did :(
[10:31:40] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3636.25 -> small size
[10:31:49] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[10:31:57] <@wrbtrader> :(
[10:32:00] <@wrbtrader> geeesh
[10:32:47] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3638.00 --> - 1.75
[10:33:03] <TigerBoy___> SH mES @ 3636.50
[10:33:24] <TigerBoy___> exit all mES @ 3635 +1.50
[10:33:42] <@wrbtrader> price action back above the S area
[10:33:45] <TigerBoy___> simply sell pressure slow down now
[10:34:02] <TigerBoy___> infact more balmve in book
[10:34:08] <TigerBoy___> balance
[10:34:18] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3637.50 -> small size
[10:34:30] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts re-entry
[10:35:33] <TigerBoy___> SH mES @ 3637
[10:35:54] <@wrbtrader> jumpy price action now...
[10:36:02] <@wrbtrader> I'm now expecting a volatility spike here soon
[10:36:07] <@wrbtrader> trail stop tighten
[10:36:17] <TigerBoy___> exit all @ 3635.50 +1.50
[10:38:36] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3636.75 --> + 0.75
[10:38:43] <@wrbtrader> :(
[10:39:24] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 3637.00 -> small size
[10:39:30] <@wrbtrader> 1 contract
[10:45:31] <@wrbtrader> Exited Emini ES Long @ 3643.00 --> + 6
[10:45:43] <@wrbtrader> bailed...not a trail stop pick
[11:12:48] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3662.50 -> small size
[11:12:58] <@wrbtrader> 3 contracts
[11:19:25] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3652.00 --> + 10.5
[11:19:44] <@wrbtrader> bailed...early exit (lost my patience)
[11:20:00] <@wrbtrader> but still a WRB pt2
[11:20:28] <TigerBoy___> anyway a good short ... seems you shorted around my S from KEY area
[11:20:42] <@wrbtrader> Yes
[11:20:55] <TigerBoy___> good to know :)
[11:21:22] <TigerBoy___> I just did so much trades so far
[11:21:35] <TigerBoy___> around 200 fills
[11:21:57] <TigerBoy___> thats the reason my hads hurts
[11:22:12] <@wrbtrader> Wow...is that number of trades normal for you ?
[11:22:52] <TigerBoy___> yes when I feel good
[11:23:02] <TigerBoy___> usually 4/5 pages
[11:23:15] <TigerBoy___> problems is ... too stresfull
[11:23:38] <@wrbtrader> Whenever I do trades > 10 roundtrips...I feel as if I don't remember anything and has lost control of myself
[11:23:54] <TigerBoy___> I have to slowly try to hang more on trades... just seems my impatience force to trade fast in/out
[11:24:38] <TigerBoy___> I have lot of fill because scale out a lot
[11:25:24] <TigerBoy___> not the best way to do .. just try to get something @ every tick
[11:26:50] <TigerBoy___> simply I ll try just 1 contract and let it go when I trade near R/S for KEY area
[11:27:27] <TigerBoy___> usually I exit so fast when price move against me just by few ticks
[11:51:03] <@wrbtrader> price action nearing that R area I had shorted in the prior trade
[11:52:04] <@wrbtrader> Now above it and trying to Short Squeeze
[11:52:30] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 3665.00 -> small size
[11:52:39] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[11:53:59] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 3668.50 --> + 3.5
[11:54:15] <@wrbtrader> bailed early
[12:49:57] <@wrbtrader> Shorts Emini ES @ 3655.25 -> small size
[12:50:11] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[12:52:38] <@wrbtrader> Covered all Emini ES Short @ 3655.00 --> + 0.25
[12:52:47] <@wrbtrader> trail stop picked
[13:06:00] <@wrbtrader> President Biden speaking right now on TV about Hurricane Ian
[13:09:27] <TigerBoy___> SH mNQ 1167.50 large
[13:10:00] <TigerBoy___> exit all @ 11166 +1.50
[13:11:22] <TigerBoy___> I was not trading since 1 hour ago
[13:11:38] <TigerBoy___> just did some exercize and running
[13:12:00] <TigerBoy___> just see a small oportunity and used mNQ
[13:12:37] <TigerBoy___> mean while ES crossed back and forth those R and S from KEY area
[13:12:48] <TigerBoy___> while I was away
[13:26:00] <@wrbtrader> Long Emini ES @ 3643.00 -> small size
[13:26:14] <@wrbtrader> 2 contracts
[13:29:08] <@wrbtrader> Exited all Emini ES Long @ 3643.50 --> + 0.5
[13:29:14] <TigerBoy___> ok I exit here
[13:29:21] <TigerBoy___> take care wrbtrader see you next time
[13:29:43] <@wrbtrader> Ok...I'm done too
[13:29:52] <@wrbtrader> Take care and see you tomorrow
[14:28:25] * You have left #TheStrategyLab
Session Close

Bloomberg Markets: The Close' Full Show (09/29/2022) @ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-09-30/bloomberg-markets-the-close-09-29-2022

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